Power Ranking the 2018 FIFA World Cup Teams

Photo Via: The Eagles Bank 

With the World Cup Kicking off tomorrow, I have ranked the 32 nations participating using a composite of different ratings.

Methodology:

I took 6 different ratings of the 32 nations participating and scaled each one to be from 0-100. Then I averaged the mean and median of the 6 ratings to form a composite rating.

The 6 Ratings I used:

1. FIFA Rankings
2. The Power Rank Ratings
3. Elo Ratings
4. Massey Ratings
5. 538’s Soccer Power Index
6. A Composite of Betting Odds

Ratings:

1. Brazil Group E: 99.73
2. Germany Group F: 96.77
3. Spain Group B: 91.67
4. Argentina Group D: 88.71
5. France Group C: 88.17
6. Belgium Group G: 84.41
7. Portugal Group B: 80.11
8. England Group G: 79.04
9. Colombia Group H: 70.97
10. Uruguay Group A: 67.47
11. Switzerland Group E: 64.25
12. Poland Group H: 61.83
13. Peru Group C: 60.22
14. Denmark Group C: 59.41
15. Croatia Group D: 59.41
16. Mexico Group F: 56.72
17. Sweeden Group F: 48.92
18. Serbia Group E: 43.01
19. Iceland Group D: 38.98
20. Costa Rica Group E: 32.79
21. Senegal Group H: 32.53
22. Morocco Group B: 29.84
23. Iran Group B: 26.08
24. Russia Group A: 24.73
25. Nigeria Group D: 21.50
26. Australia Group C: 19.89
27. Egypt Group A: 19.89
28. Japan Group H: 15.86
29. Tunisia Group G: 13.44
30. South Korea Group F: 12.37
31. Panama Group G: 4.57
32. Saudi Arabia Group A: 0.27

Group Ratings:

1. Group E (Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, Costa Rica): 59.95
2. Group B (Spain, Portugal, Morocco, Iran): 56.93
3. Group C (France, Peru, Denmark, Australia): 56.92
4. Group F (Germany, Mexico, Sweeden, South Korea): 53.70
5. Group D (Argentina, Croatia, Iceland, Nigeria): 52.15
6. Group G (Belgium, England, Tunisia, Panama): 45.37
7. Group H (Colombia, Poland, Senegal, Japan): 45.30
8. Group A (Uruguay, Russia, Egypt, Saudi Arabia): 28.09

Predictions Based on the Composite)

Group Stages: (Temas in Group Ratings are listed from highest to lowest rated)

Round of 16:

#1F vs. #2E: Germany vs. Switzerland

#1H vs. #2G: Colombia vs. England

#1B vs. #2A: Spain vs. Russia

#1D vs. #2C: Argentina vs. Peru

#1E vs. #2F: Brazil vs. Mexico

#1G vs. #2H: Belgium vs. Poland

#1A vs. #2B: Uruguay vs. Portugal

#1C vs. #2D: France vs. Croatia

Quarterfinals:

Germany vs. England

Spain vs. Argentina

Brazil vs. Belgium

Portugal vs. France

 

Semifinals:

Germany vs. Spain

Brazil vs. France

 

Final:

Brazil over Germany