The best clubs in the world will be kicking off league play within the next three weeks, with the big 5 Leagues kicking off as follows:
Eng. Premier League: Aug 10
French Ligue 1: Aug 10
Italian Serie A: Aug 18
German Bundesliga: Aug 24
Spanish La Liga: Aug 17
With this comes much anticipation and a plethora of storylines such as: Cristiano Ronaldo debuting with Juventus, Real Madrid’s Post Ronaldo Era, Will Anybody be able to stop Man City?, among others.
I used normalization and a composite of computer ratings to rate the World Cup Teams heading into the tournament, and I am using a similar methodology in projecting the league tables for the top five leagues. These ratings rate teams in comparison within teams in their own league, hence the reasons why teams like Schalke will have a higher rating than teams like Chelsea or Arsenal. The premier league is a tougher league than the Bundesliga which makes it so the 2nd best team in the German League could have a higher rating than the third or fourth best teams in the Premier League. Therefor comparing the ratings of the teams across different leagues is not advised.
Here is a brief summary of my computations:
I first made a composite of five different computer ratings ranking the teams in each of their leagues, then I added two other metrics from Transfermarkt.com which assigns money values to players and teams based on their performances and other facets. I adjusted these ratings with outlier eliminating, and future scaling normalization.
The ratings I used were:
538 Soccer Power Index
Football Database Elo Based Rankings
Clubelo.com’s European Football Club Elo Rankings
Massey Soccer Computer Ratings
Euro Club Index Ratings
Transfer Markt Total Value
Transfer Market Average Value
Certain ratings did not have data for teams recently promoted into the league, for those recently promoted teams I rated them behind teams that had ratings and then ranked them based on their finish in the second league table within the previous year.
One drawback from these ratings is that they don’t fully adjust for recently acquired transfers or the exit of their own players. This is why I added transfermarkt values.
Max= Max Ranking from composite
Min= Min Rating from composite
Teams with the same composite ratings are ranked based on the following tie breakers:
1. Max Rating
2. Finish in Previous Year’s Table
Power Ratings for the Big 5 Leagues:
English Premier League:
1. Manchester City: 100.00
Max: #1 Min: #1
2. Liverpool: 90.23
Max: #2 Min: #4
3. Tottenham: 89.85
Max: #2 Min: #5
4. Manchester United: 83.83
Max: #3 Min: #6
5. Chelsea: 79.70
Max: #2 Min: #6
6. Arsenal: 74.81
Max: #4 Min: #6
7. Leicester City: 62.41
Max: #7 Min: #10
8. Everton: 62.03
Max: #7 Min: #11
9. Crystal Palace: 56.77
Max: #7 Min: #12
10. Southampton: 48.50
Max: #9 Min: #15
11. West Ham United: 46.24
Max: #8 Min: #15
12. Burnley: 42.86
Max: #9 Min: #15
13. Newcastle United: 34.59
Max: #9 Min: #15
14. AFC Bournemouth: 30.08
Max: #12 Min: #17
15. Brighton & Hove Albion: 25.94
Max: #12 Min: #18
16. Fullham: 25.19
Max: #7 Min: #18
17. Watford: 18.42
Max: #12 Min: #20
18. Wolverhampton: 13.16
Max: #10 Min: #19
19. Huddersfield Town: 5.26
Max: #17 Min: #20
20. Cardiff City: 2.26
Max: #16 Min: #20
Spanish La Liga:
1. Barcelona: 99.25
Max: #1 Min: #2
2. Real Madrid: 95.11
Max: #1 Min: #3
3. Atletico Madrid: 89.85
Max: #2 Min: #3
4. Valencia: 83.46
Max: #4 Min: #5
5. Sevilla: 77.82
Max: #4 Min: #7
6. Villarreal: 72.93
Max: #5 Min: #9
7. Real Sociedad: 62.78
Max: #4 Min: #12
8. Espanyol: 59.77
Max: #7 Min: #12
9. Real Betis: 53.76
Max: #7 Min: #11
10. Getafe: 46.62
Max: #8 Min: #15
11. Celta Vigo: 45.86
Max: #7 Min: #13
12. Eibar: 44.36
Max: #7 Min: #17
13. Athletic Bilbao: 40.98
Max: #6 Min: #15
14. Alaves: 36.84
Max: #8 Min: #16
15. Girona: 27.44
Max: #11 Min: #16
16. Levante: 26.69
Max: #13 Min: #17
17. Leganes: 18.05
Max: #14 Min: #18
18. Rayo Vallecano: 9.40
Max: #17 Min: #20
19. Valladolid: 4.89
Max: #18 Min: #20
20. Huesca: 4.51
Max: #18 Min: #20
Italian Serie A:
1. Juventus: 100.00
Max: #1 Min: #1
2. Napoli: 93.61
Max: #2 Min: #3
3. Roma: 88.72
Max: #2 Min: #5
4. Inter Milan: 84.96
Max: #2 Min: #5
5. Lazio: 79.32
Max: #4 Min: #6
6. AC Milan: 74.06
Max: #4 Min: #7
7. Atalanta: 68.42
Max: #6 Min: #9
8. AFC Fiorentina: 63.16
Max: #7 Min: #9
9. Torino: 59.02
Max: #8 Min: #9
10. Sampdoria: 51.50
Max: #10 Min: #11
11. Sassuolo: 47.37
Max: #10 Min: #12
12. Genoa: 37.22
Max: #12 Min: #15
13. Udinese: 30.83
Max: #13 Min: #16
14. Cagliari: 27.07
Max: #11 Min: #!7
15. Chievo: 22.56
Max: #12 Min: #18
16. SPAL: 22.56
Max: #12 Min: #18
17. Bologna: 21.05
Max: #14 Min: #18
18. Empoli: 14.66
Max: #12 Min: #19
19. Frosinone: 5.26
Max: #17 Min: #20
20. Parma: 1.50
Max: #18 Min: #20
German Bundesliga:
1. Bayern Munich: 100.00
Max: #1 Min: #1
2. Borussia Dortmund: 88.66
Max: #2 Min: #4
3. Schalke 04: 86.55
Max: #2 Min: #5
4. Bayer Leverkusen: 82.35
Max: #2 Min: #7
5. 1899 Hoffenheim: 80.67
Max: #3 Min: #7
6. RB Leipzig: 71.85
Max: #4 Min: #7
7. Borussia Monchengladbach: 62.18
Max: #6 Min: #10
8. VfB Stuttgart: 60.08
Max: #5 Min: #10
9. Weder Bremen: 50.84
Max: #8 Min: #13
10. Eintracht Frankfurt: 48.74
Max: #7 Min: #11
11. Hertha BSC: 36.97
Max: #10 Min: #12
12. FC Augsburg: 34.03
Max: #11 Min: #15
13. VfL Wolfsburg: 31.09
Max: #9 Min: #16
14. SC Freiburg: 22.69
Max: #12 Min: #16
15. Mainz 05: 22.27
Max: #13 Min: #16
16. Hannover 96: 18.07
Max: #14 Min: #16
17. Fortuna Dusseldorf: 4.62
Max: #17 Min: #18
18. FC Nurnberg: 1.26
Max: #17 Min: #18
French Ligue 1:
1. PSG: 100.00
Max: #1 Min: #1
2. Lyon: 94.00
Max: #2 Min: #3
3. Monaco: 89.47
Max: #2 Min: #4
4. Marseille: 84.96
Max: #3 Min: #4
5. Rennes: 73.68
Max: #5 Min: #8
6. Bordeaux: 72.93
Max: #5 Min: #8
7. Nice: 72.93
Max: #5 Min: #7
8. Saint-Etienne: 63.53
Max: #6 Min: #10
9. Montpellier: 55.64
Max: #9 Min: #12
10. Nantes: 48.87
Max: #9 Min: #11
11. Guingamp: 36.47
Max: #11 Min: #15
12. Dijon: 35.34
Max: #12 Min: #15
13. Reims: 33.83
Max: #10 Min: #20
14. Angers: 30.08
Max: #12 Min: #16
15. Lille: 29.70
Max: #7 Min: #18
16. Toulouse: 28.95
Max: #10 Min: #17
17. Amiens: 14.66
Max: #11 Min: #19
18. Nimes: 13.53
Max: #16 Min: #20
19. Strasbourg: 11.65
Max: #14 Min: #20
20. Caen: 7.14
Max: #14 Min: #20
Tyler's Basic Sports Metrics 