NFL Week 11 Computer Composite Ratings

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Photo Via: LA Times

There are numerous different NFL Rating systems and computer ratings. The rankings differ far and wide, from ratings that solely focus on how much you a beat team by, and other rankings who don’t factor margin of victory at all. I took a composite of 33 different NFL Ratings that I could find on the internet, to create power ratings for Week 11.

To calculate the composite I averaged the ratings of each team to get the mean, then I took the median of each team’s ratings. I then averaged these two together. I did not solely use the arithmetic mean due to the fact it can be influenced by outliers while the median is not.

I then used a normalization statistical method called future scaling. I have used future scaling in previous articles, such as my Power Ratings of International Soccer Countries going into the World Cup. The scaling here is done for more arbitrary reasons to give the team’s a rating from 0-100.  Therefore the formula for the composite is as follows:

(32-((∑(Team Ratings)/33)+Median*)/2))/(32-1))*100

*Median= (Rank the Values from highest to lowest, the middle number is the median, in this case, it was the 17th rating)

 

Rankings included:

  1. NFL W-L%
  2. PowerRatings.com
  3. Roundtable Ratings
  4. Burdorf Ratings
  5. Stat Fox
  6. Time Travel Sports
  7. Golden
  8. Sagarin
  9. Jelly Juke
  10. Team Rankings Predictor
  11. Team Rankings Overall
  12. Dolphin Ratings
  13. Dolphin Improved RPI
  14. Compughter NFL Ratings
  15. Jeff Self Ratings
  16. Massey NFL Ratings
  17. D Ratings
  18. Coffey Ratings
  19. 538 Elo
  20. ESPN FPI
  21. Transitive W-L%*(Basic Rating that I made, formula in article)
  22. Sports Reference SRS
  23. Performance Z Ratings
  24. Pi Ratings
  25. Sonny Moore Power Ratings
  26. Nutshell Ratings
  27. Bassett Ratings
  28. Kalin Ratings
  29. Brian Simmons Ratings
  30. Jeff Bihl Rankings
  31. Argh Power Ratings
  32. Round Robin W-L%
  33. PFF Elo

*Transitive W-L% is a simple ranking system to rate teams based on who they have beat and who they have lost to. The result of the game (Win or Loss) and the opponent’s Wins and losses are the only things that matter.

Formula: (Cumulative Wins of Team’s Beat)/(Cumulative Wins of Team’s Beat + Cumulative Losses of Teams lost to)

E.G.: Team A beats, Team B(1-2), Team C(2-1), and loses to Team D(1-2).  They have 3 transitive wins and 2 transitive losses. Their rating is 3/5=.600

(W-L)

 

Week 11 NFL Composite Power Ratings:

  1. New Orleans Saints (99.02) NFC South High: #1 Low: #4
  2. Kansas City Chiefs (96.43) AFC West High: #1 Low: #4
  3. Los Angeles Rams (93.50) NFC West High: #1 Low: #12
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers (90.76) AFC North High: #2 Low: #7
  5. Los Angeles Chargers (86.31) AFC West High: #3 Low: #8
  6. New England Patriots (82.94) AFC East High: #4 Low: #12
  7. Carolina Panthers (75.22) NFC South High: #6 Low: #17
  8. Chicago Bears (74.29) NFC North High: #5 Low: #17
  9. Baltimore Ravens (70.43) AFC North High: #5 Low: #19
  10. Houston Texans (65.93) AFC South High: #7 Low: #20
  11. Minnesota Vikings (65.44) NFC North High: #5 Low: #16
  12. Tennesee Titans (64.81) AFC South High: #3 Low: #18
  13. Seattle Seahawks (61.39) NFC West High: #5 Low: #19
  14. Washington Redskins (58.06) NFC East High: #7 Low: #22
  15. Green Bay Packers (54.69) NFC North High: #9 Low: #19
  16. Atlanta Falcons (52.00) NFC South High: #11 Low: #21
  17. Philadelphia Eagles (49.36) NFC East High: #5 Low: #23
  18. Dallas Cowboys (48.58) NFC East High: #9 Low: #21
  19. Cincinnati Bengals (45.45) AFC North High: #5 Low: #29
  20. Indianapolis Colts (39.88) AFC South High: #8 Low: #24
  21. Denver Broncos (33.72) AFC West High: #13 Low: #27
  22. Cleveland Browns (31.43) AFC North High: #18 Low: #31
  23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28.45) NFC South High: #17 Low: #29
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (28.40) AFC South High: #18 Low: #28
  25. Detroit Lions (23.70) NFC North High: #18 Low: #27
  26. Miami Dolphins (21.75) AFC East High: #14 Low: #30
  27. New York Giants (16.52) NFC East High: #20 Low: #32
  28. Buffalo Bills (13.54) AFC East High: #23 Low: #32
  29. San Francisco 49ers (12.56) NFC West High: #23 Low: #32
  30. New York Jets (9.29) AFC East High: #25 Low: #31
  31. Arizona Cardinals  (7.14) NFC West High: #24 Low: #32
  32. Oakland Raiders (0.24) AFC West High: #31 Low: #32

 

 

 

 

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Published by Tyler Perez

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